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Market Pulse

Orinda market insights

A local market update for Single Family Residential, refreshed monthly with Redfin housing market data.

Monthly market wrap

MONTHLY MARKET WRAPOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026The Orinda market tilted hotter in May:most key signals moved the seller's way.Median sale price$2.25M+12.8% vs AprTime to pending10d2 days faster vs AprSold over asking64%+11 pts vs AprActive listings38+2.7% vs AprGenerated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

Sale price vs asking

SALE PRICE VS ASKINGOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026Most Orinda SFHs are still selling overasking (64%). Price to invitecompetition.103.1%average sale price vs. asking priceSold over asking64%vs. a year ago+29 pts103.7%101.6%99.5%Sold at asking price103.1%Jun 2024Jun 2025May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

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The negotiation gap

THE NEGOTIATION GAPOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026The typical Orinda SFH closes +3.1%above its asking price.+$255Kmedian sale price minus asking priceMedian asking price$2MMedian sale price$2.25M$2.3M$1.95M$1.6MSoldAskingJun 2024Jun 2025May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

Median sale price

MEDIAN SALE PRICEOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026Orinda SFH values are climbing, up+20.8% in a year.$2.25Mmedian sale priceYear over year+20.8%Homes sold last month22$2.2M$1.91M$1.62M$2.25MJun 2019Dec 2022May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

Time to sell

TIME TO SELLOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026Orinda SFHs are flying off the market in10 days, 11 days faster than last year.10 daysmedian time to pendingGone within two weeks71%vs. a year ago11 days faster97d65d32d10dJun 2024Jun 2025May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

Active listings

ACTIVE LISTINGSOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026Orinda inventory is down 34.5% year overyear, keeping buyer choice tight.38active listingsYear over year-34.5%Months of supply1.750362238Jun 2024Jun 2025May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

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Price cuts

PRICE CUTSOrindaSingle-family homes · May 20261 in 4 Orinda listings cut its askingprice last month.26%of active listings cut their asking pricevs. a year ago-3 ptsActive listings3829%21%14%26%Jun 2024May 2025May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

The two-speed market

THE TWO-SPEED MARKETOrindaSingle-family homes · May 202671% of Orinda SFHs went pending withintwo weeks. Priced-right listings do notwait.71%of listings went pending within two weeksMedian time to pending10 daysvs. a year ago+24 pts58%39%21%Half of listings71%Jun 2024Jun 2025May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

Best month to buy

BEST MONTH TO BUYOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026December is historically Orinda'scalmest month for buyers: 5.1 pts lessover-asking than May.Decemberhistorically the calmest month for buyersBuyer's edge vs May-5.1 ptsYears of Redfin data11+Yearly averageJFMAMJJASOND-2.8 ptsBars over/under-asking vs the yearly average Line price seasonalityGenerated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

10-year price growth

WAITING HAS A PRICEOrindaSingle-family homes · May 2026A Orinda SFH bought in 2016 has gained+63% in value since.+63%median sale price growth since 2016Median price in 2016$1.38MAverage gain per year+5.0%$2M$1.74M$1.49M$2.25MMay 2016May 2021May 2026Generated by ListingCopilot.ioSource: Redfin housing market data

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